Federal · 2026 midterm elections
Demo dataRepublican leads by 3.9%
Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 22 Sept · Illustrative polling
Race map · 35 contests
Demo dataDEM leads 13REP leads 22
Shade = margin: light <3 · mid 3–10 · solid 10+. Grey = no race. Illustrative results.
Polling average
Demo data- Republican47.7% ▼ 0.3
- Democratic43.8% ▲ 0.1
- Independent/Other6.6% ▼ 0.1
Trend · last 14 polls
Demo dataSeat projection
Demo data53
47
REP 53DEM 47
More federal polling
2028 presidential election
Demo dataGeneral Election
Democratic47.8%
Republican45.1%
Independent/Other6.1%
DEM +2.7 · 14 polls
2026 midterm elections
House of Representatives
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
2026 midterm elections
Demo dataGubernatorial
Democratic46.2%
Republican45%
Independent/Other6.2%
DEM +1.2 · 14 polls
Congressional generic ballot
United States
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
Recent polls
Demo dataNorthgate Analytics
N=1,696 · 19 Sept–22 Sept · ±2.4
Demo data47.2%44.2%6.6%
Beacon Survey
N=1,413 · 13 Sept–16 Sept · ±2.6
Demo data48.3%43.5%4.9%
Civic Pulse
N=2,249 · 7 Sept–10 Sept · ±2.1
Demo data47.5%43.1%5.9%
Meridian Research
N=2,377 · 1 Sept–4 Sept · ±2
Demo data47.2%44.9%7.2%
Hartwell Panel
N=1,599 · 26 Aug–29 Aug · ±2.5
Demo data48.8%44.2%7.2%
Cardinal & Vane
N=2,429 · 20 Aug–23 Aug · ±2
Demo data47.4%42.9%7.5%
Northgate Analytics
N=1,313 · 14 Aug–17 Aug · ±2.7
Demo data49%44.8%5.3%
Beacon Survey
N=1,638 · 8 Aug–11 Aug · ±2.4
Demo data48.8%42.7%6.8%