Federal · 2026 midterm elections
Demo dataDemocratic leads by 1.2%
Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 22 Sept · Illustrative polling
Race map · 36 contests
Demo dataDEM leads 17REP leads 19
Shade = margin: light <3 · mid 3–10 · solid 10+. Grey = no race. Illustrative results.
Polling average
Demo data- Democratic46.2% ▲ 0.3
- Republican45.0% ▲ 0.3
- Independent/Other6.2% ▼ 0.4
Trend · last 14 polls
Demo dataMore federal polling
2028 presidential election
Demo dataGeneral Election
Democratic47.8%
Republican45.1%
Independent/Other6.1%
DEM +2.7 · 14 polls
2026 midterm elections
House of Representatives
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
2026 midterm elections
Demo dataSenate
Republican47.7%
Democratic43.8%
Independent/Other6.6%
REP +3.9 · 14 polls
Congressional generic ballot
United States
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
Recent polls
Demo dataHartwell Panel
N=1,137 · 19 Sept–22 Sept · ±2.9
Demo data47.7%45.2%7.2%
Cardinal & Vane
N=2,793 · 13 Sept–16 Sept · ±1.9
Demo data45.8%46.2%5.3%
Northgate Analytics
N=2,495 · 7 Sept–10 Sept · ±2
Demo data46.6%44.4%6.9%
Beacon Survey
N=2,751 · 1 Sept–4 Sept · ±1.9
Demo data45.6%45.7%6.6%
Civic Pulse
N=2,900 · 26 Aug–29 Aug · ±1.8
Demo data46.2%44.4%6.3%
Meridian Research
N=1,046 · 20 Aug–23 Aug · ±3
Demo data45.4%43.9%4.8%
Hartwell Panel
N=2,547 · 14 Aug–17 Aug · ±1.9
Demo data45.3%43.8%7.2%
Cardinal & Vane
N=1,333 · 8 Aug–11 Aug · ±2.7
Demo data46.1%45.8%7.3%