Federal · 2028 presidential election
Demo dataDemocratic leads by 2.7%
Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 22 Sept · Illustrative polling
Polling average
Demo data- Democratic47.8% ▲ 0.2
- Republican45.1% ▼ 0.3
- Independent/Other6.1% ▲ 0.5
Trend · last 14 polls
Demo dataSeat projection
Demo data270
268
REP 270DEM 268
More federal polling
2026 midterm elections
House of Representatives
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
2026 midterm elections
Demo dataSenate
Republican47.7%
Democratic43.8%
Independent/Other6.6%
REP +3.9 · 14 polls
2026 midterm elections
Demo dataGubernatorial
Democratic46.2%
Republican45%
Independent/Other6.2%
DEM +1.2 · 14 polls
Congressional generic ballot
United States
Democratic48.2%
Republican40.2%
Independent/Other1%
DEM +8 · 2 polls
Recent polls
Demo dataNorthgate Analytics
N=1,464 · 19 Sept–22 Sept · ±2.6
Demo data47.5%44.2%6.3%
Beacon Survey
N=1,279 · 13 Sept–16 Sept · ±2.7
Demo data48.4%44.3%6.4%
Civic Pulse
N=1,878 · 7 Sept–10 Sept · ±2.3
Demo data47.5%45.1%6.4%
Meridian Research
N=2,932 · 1 Sept–4 Sept · ±1.8
Demo data47.4%45.6%5.6%
Hartwell Panel
N=2,351 · 26 Aug–29 Aug · ±2
Demo data48.9%46%6.1%
Cardinal & Vane
N=1,497 · 20 Aug–23 Aug · ±2.5
Demo data46.8%44.8%6%
Northgate Analytics
N=1,896 · 14 Aug–17 Aug · ±2.3
Demo data48.4%45%4.5%
Beacon Survey
N=1,094 · 8 Aug–11 Aug · ±3
Demo data46.3%46.2%5%