Federal · Senate control

Demo data

Republican leads by 3.9%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 09/22/2026 · Illustrative polling

Race map · 35 contests

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DEM leads 13REP leads 22

Shade = margin: light <3 · mid 3–10 · solid 10+. Grey = no race. Illustrative results.

Polling average

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+/− 7 days

Republican47.7% ▼ 0.3
Democratic43.8% ▲ 0.1
Independent/Other6.6% ▼ 0.1

Trend · last 14 polls

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Seat projection

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51 TO WIN

REP 53DEM 47

More federal polling

United States House and Senate elections

2026 Midterms

Democratic48.2%

Republican40.2%

Independent/Other1%

DEM +8 · 2 polls

President, House and Senate

Demo data

2028 General

Democratic47.8%

Republican45.1%

Independent/Other6.1%

DEM +2.7 · 14 polls

Recent polls

Demo data

Northgate Analytics

N=1,696 · 09/19/2026–09/22/2026 · ±2.4

Demo data

47.2%44.2%6.6%

Beacon Survey

N=1,413 · 09/13/2026–09/16/2026 · ±2.6

Demo data

48.3%43.5%4.9%

Civic Pulse

N=2,249 · 09/07/2026–09/10/2026 · ±2.1

Demo data

47.5%43.1%5.9%

Meridian Research

N=2,377 · 09/01/2026–09/04/2026 · ±2

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47.2%44.9%7.2%

Hartwell Panel

N=1,599 · 08/26/2026–08/29/2026 · ±2.5

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48.8%44.2%7.2%

Cardinal & Vane

N=2,429 · 08/20/2026–08/23/2026 · ±2

Demo data

47.4%42.9%7.5%

Northgate Analytics

N=1,313 · 08/14/2026–08/17/2026 · ±2.7

Demo data

49%44.8%5.3%

Beacon Survey

N=1,638 · 08/08/2026–08/11/2026 · ±2.4

Demo data

48.8%42.7%6.8%